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Date de publication: 4 avr. 2012
Auteur: Y B
Noter cette article :

L'IATA, l'Association internationale du transport aérien a publié son AIR TRANSPORT MARKET ANALYSIS" pour le mois de février 2012 et observe une légère reprise du traffic passager (+8,6% par rapport à février 2011).

Points clés :

  • Passenger and freight volumes in February were considerably higher than a year ago, but this strength was exaggerated by several factors;
  • Air travel markets were up 8.6% in February compared to the same month a year ago, and air freight markets rebounded strongly from a weak January to expand by 5.2%;
  • However, there were distortions to the February results for several reasons - weaker air traffic during Arab Spring a year ago, postponed shipments of cargo in January from the Chinese New Year holiday, and Carnival in Brazil occurring a month early in 2011;
  • Regions most impacted by these events show significantly exaggerated year-on-year growth rates in February - passenger travel increased by more than 20% in Africa and the Middle East and by 16% in Latin America, while freight markets in Asia/Pacific grew 9%;
  • After adjusting for the distortions, passenger traffic has been increasing at an annualized rate close to the 20-year trend, 6%, since the Arab Spring;
  • By contrast, freight traffic continued to fall beyond the Arab Spring at an annualized rate of 5% through to September 2011;
  • But has subsequently stabilized and has moved around a broadly flat trend through to February 2012;
  • Capacity has expanded at a slightly lower rate than the growth in demand, allowing a further rise in passenger load factors in February;
  • Together with stabilization in freight load factors, this will help to contain the damage to airline profitability from high fuel costs;
  • The outlook for markets still remains fragile, however, with improvements in business confidence slowing in February, containing the upside for business travel, and higher fuel costs threatening price sensitive markets.

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